Northern Arizona
Men -
Women
2014
-
2015 -
2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
96 |
Tyler Day |
FR |
31:49 |
111 |
Cory Glines |
JR |
31:53 |
347 |
Harvey Nelson |
SO |
32:40 |
450 |
Jeffery Miller |
FR |
32:53 |
589 |
Peter Lomong |
FR |
33:08 |
748 |
Mike Lowrie |
FR |
33:25 |
1,102 |
Jarrick Wenslow |
SO |
33:55 |
1,197 |
Jackson Crose |
FR |
34:04 |
|
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.2% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
2.4% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
|
Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Tyler Day |
Cory Glines |
Harvey Nelson |
Jeffery Miller |
Peter Lomong |
Mike Lowrie |
Jarrick Wenslow |
Jackson Crose |
Cowboy Jamboree |
09/26 |
794 |
32:04 |
31:48 |
33:15 |
33:02 |
32:33 |
33:00 |
33:00 |
|
Wisconsin adidas Invitational |
10/16 |
844 |
32:06 |
31:50 |
33:04 |
32:58 |
33:11 |
33:08 |
34:06 |
|
Big Sky Championships |
10/31 |
719 |
31:28 |
32:09 |
32:19 |
32:23 |
33:24 |
33:50 |
34:30 |
33:54 |
Mountain Region Championships |
11/13 |
854 |
31:36 |
|
32:01 |
33:02 |
33:25 |
34:00 |
|
34:14 |
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
2.8% |
26.5 |
613 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
Region Championship |
100% |
7.5 |
187 |
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0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
8.6 |
40.6 |
30.7 |
16.7 |
1.0 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Tyler Day |
51.2% |
84.2 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
Cory Glines |
44.7% |
91.3 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Harvey Nelson |
2.9% |
181.4 |
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Jeffery Miller |
2.8% |
199.9 |
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Peter Lomong |
2.8% |
217.3 |
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Mike Lowrie |
2.8% |
229.8 |
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Jarrick Wenslow |
2.8% |
245.5 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Tyler Day |
17.9 |
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0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
5.2 |
5.9 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
Cory Glines |
19.4 |
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|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
5.4 |
5.2 |
5.6 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
Harvey Nelson |
40.6 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
Jeffery Miller |
47.8 |
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0.0 |
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Peter Lomong |
55.1 |
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Mike Lowrie |
62.4 |
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Jarrick Wenslow |
77.6 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
|
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Total |
|
Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
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1 |
2 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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2 |
3 |
0.1% |
66.7% |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
3 |
4 |
0.6% |
38.7% |
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0.0 |
0.1 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.4 |
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0.2 |
4 |
5 |
1.7% |
31.0% |
| |
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0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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1.2 |
|
0.5 |
5 |
6 |
8.6% |
23.1% |
| |
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0.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
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6.6 |
|
2.0 |
6 |
7 |
40.6% |
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40.6 |
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7 |
8 |
30.7% |
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30.7 |
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8 |
9 |
16.7% |
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16.7 |
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9 |
10 |
1.0% |
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1.0 |
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10 |
11 |
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11 |
12 |
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12 |
13 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
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Total |
100% |
2.8% |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
97.2 |
0.0 |
2.8 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
Princeton |
19.2% |
1.0 |
0.2 |
Lamar |
9.0% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
Penn State |
3.3% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
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Total |
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0.3 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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2.0 |